Black Widow projected to earn $65M-$90M domestically during opening weekend

By Stephen Ippolito | June 21st, 2021

With a little over two weeks until its release (July 9th), Marvel Studios’ Black Widow is projecting to be the industry’s highest earner at the box office since the pandemic began. According to Shawn Robbins, an analyst for Box Office Pro, the Scarlett Johansson-led film is expected to earn $65M-$90M during its opening weekend domestically. The outlet also says that it should finish its run stateside with a total in the range of $155M-$225M.

If the numbers hold, Black Widow would be the biggest opening since December 2019 when Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker opened to $177.4M.  Considering that the film will also be available to purchase ($30) on Disney+ the same day it hits theaters, I think Marvel and Disney should be pretty satisfied with these numbers.

Over the last month, box office numbers have started showing signs of returning to pre-pandemic levels. A Quiet Place Part II became the first film to gross over $100M domestically after earning $47M during its opening weekend. The positive trend is expected to continue this week when F9 is released. The Universal film is slated to gross around $50M-$70M in its first weekend.

If Black Widow were to open at the lower end of the estimate ($65M), it would be the third-lowest for an MCU film during opening weekend. Only Ant-Man ($57.23M) and The Incredible Hulk ($55.41M) grossed lower. If the pandemic didn’t occur, I’m sure the film would have easily grossed over $100M.

Along with Johansson, Black Widow will star Florence Pugh as Yelena Belova, David Harbour as Alexei/The Red Guardian, Rachel Weisz as Melina, Ray Winstone as Dreykov, and O-T Fagbenle as Rick Mason. Cate Shortland served as director.

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